Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1382.900154 1602.083582 1856.816133 2177.705547 2575.372817 3057.673395 3.695706e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1086.333362 1362.351673 1719.739907 2228.158427 2953.154755 3983.700812 5.626820e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 918.608406 1208.261590 1609.082842 2225.766728 3193.035719 4734.685253 7.576822e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 819.564676 1119.969999 1558.800927 2280.008161 3509.590960 5686.509904 1.031311e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 712.704847 1000.175037 1436.442543 2188.465734 3552.896090 6174.118941 1.243680e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 632.056654 906.882985 1337.586171 2111.087527 3593.607331 6661.825293 1.486331e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 565.070665 825.727967 1245.289819 2025.364459 3593.080125 7060.150496 1.735285e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 541.318285 809.872574 1257.427390 2128.625401 3995.714211 8527.534764 2.424902e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 512.918611 782.616213 1245.422619 2182.509261 4307.820530 9924.953735 3.262137e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 483.245644 749.731984 1218.608236 2201.042160 4544.235199 11242.183012 4.268172e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 452.414483 711.633516 1177.313627 2181.644078 4683.156575 12349.387206 5.381824e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 435.472005 696.280128 1176.619445 2249.496541 5069.042381 14515.995460 7.664085e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 422.883378 688.405370 1191.079423 2358.974385 5624.129789 17802.307638 1.215433e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 405.763821 670.622980 1183.921680 2417.821303 6061.902642 21071.685321 1.882265e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 384.712823 643.374841 1153.942272 2414.917609 6308.238259 23744.184477 2.735723e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 371.041962 629.012193 1149.168958 2475.326222 6794.325803 28267.918922 4.679905e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 345.710687 589.796175 1086.885926 2373.437738 6672.407635 29186.943424 5.917977e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 323.895527 556.018344 1033.394328 2287.427117 6586.615344 30330.519589 7.707096e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 303.257047 523.247156 979.329723 2192.262398 6440.711672 30992.995505 9.715674e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 299.102425 523.343345 998.679232 2306.912508 7176.495915 39338.063210 2.581174e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 291.346614 515.433914 998.905797 2366.813232 7720.556602 47433.751246 7.361160e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 281.636298 502.735754 986.673540 2387.427062 8105.807322 55085.695947 2.465268e+07
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 270.138458 485.498709 962.069824 2365.851046 8288.439615 61153.700039 9.784710e+07